EUR/USD Outlook:Brexit and US elections Hinder Investor SentimentThe financial implications of the Coronavirus pandemic proceed t
EUR/USD Outlook:
Brexit and US elections Hinder Investor Sentiment
The financial implications of the Coronavirus pandemic proceed to crush on the world’s two largest economies because the second wave of the virus stays a hindrance to financial restoration. As France and Northern Eire implement further lockdown restrictions to curb the intensified variety of new Covid-19 associated circumstances, German chancellor Angela Merkel has warned that Germany cannot afford a second lockdown.
This comes at a time the place political stress looms forward of Brexit in addition to the US presidential election.Brexit negotiations are as soon as once more underway in a two–day summit being held in Brussels, after Boris Johnson beforehand acknowledged that at present could be the deadline for a deal to be attainable. Now, it seems that a choice needs to be made by the tip of the week which can be a further driver of worth motion.
In the meantime, in America, hopes of further stimulus have light as US Treasury Secretary, Steve Mnuchin, indicated that it’s extremely unlikely {that a} second coronavirus aid invoice could be launched earlier than the elections on three November 2020.
EUR/USD Confined to Key Fibonacci Ranges
On the technical entrance, the weekly chart beneath highlights how the Fibonacci ranges have stored each bulls and bears at bay, offering assist and resistance for themain foreign money pair. At the moment, the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement degree from the medium-term transfer (2 Jan 2017 low to 12 Feb 2018 excessive), has fashioned an space of confluency, with worth motion buying and selling between these ranges for the previous three months. Nonetheless, after failing to interrupt by means of the psychological degree of 1.2000, costs have retraced again to the 38.2% degree at 1.17101.
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EUR/USD Weekly Chart
Chart ready by Tammy Da Costa, IG
MACD Crosses Beneath Zero as Bear Flag Varieties
From a short-term perspective, the each day chart beneath signifies the potential for a bear flag formation, with a Doji showing slightly below. After a interval of consolidation, this may occasionally point out that additional draw back could happen ought to costs break beneath the world of assist talked about above. In the meantime, the Shifting Common Convergence/Divergence (MACD), has crossed beneath the zero-line, a attainable indication that the pair could also be in oversold territory or that the momentum of the downtrend could also be slowing down.


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EUR/USD Day by day Chart
Chart ready by Tammy Da Costa, IG
EUR/USD Technique Forward
Ought to bulls handle to interrupt away from present assist, the subsequent resistance degree could also be discovered at 1.1750 which offered assist for the pair between July and September. If costs rise above this degree, the psychological degree of 1.18, would be the subsequent degree of curiosity.
Quite the opposite, ought to bears keep favor, pushing beneath present assist, the 23.6% retracement of the short-term transfer (March 2020 low to September 2020 excessive), could present further assist at 1.16838, with 1.16 being the subsequent assist degree.
— Written by Tammy Da Costa, Market Author for DailyFX.com
Contact and observe Tammy on Twitter: @Tams707