Quick overview
- Trump Media & Flowers Foods are set to release their Q2 2025 earnings today, attracting attention from both political and consumer markets.
- The US Producer Price Index (PPI) for July rose 0.9% month-over-month, significantly exceeding expectations and raising concerns about economic data accuracy.
- Markets are closely watching upcoming retail sales data, with expectations of a modest increase amid warnings of potential consumption slowdown.
- Bitcoin has retreated from record highs but remains supported at crucial technical levels, while Ethereum continues its rally, nearing its all-time high.
Live BTC/USD Chart
BTC/USD
Trump Media & Flowers Foods will release their Q2 2025 earnings today, drawing attention from both political and consumer markets.
US Producer Price Index Surges Beyond Expectations
The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) for July surprised markets with a sharp rise of 0.9% month-over-month, far exceeding the expected 0.2%. The core measure mirrored this performance at 0.9%, also well above consensus forecasts.
On a yearly basis, headline PPI accelerated 3.3% (vs. 2.5% expected), while the core reading excluding food and energy jumped 3.7% (vs. 2.9% expected). A closer look at the data revealed that transportation and warehousing were key contributors to the increase. This puzzled some analysts, as much of warehousing today relies heavily on automation rather than labor-intensive processes.
The strength in PPI, paired with ongoing questions over the accuracy of broader economic data—especially after large downward revisions to recent employment figures—added uncertainty to the market’s interpretation. Earlier declines in equities were erased by the session’s close, with major indices ending virtually flat.
Key Market Events for Today
US Retail Sales Outlook and Economic Concerns
Markets are now turning their attention to upcoming July retail sales data, expected to rise +0.5% M/M (previous +0.6%), while the ex-autos measure is anticipated to cool to +0.2% (previous +0.5%). June’s retail sales surprised to the upside, partly boosted by an unexpected surge in auto purchases. However, Pantheon Macroeconomics cautioned that this masked underlying softness, noting Q3 consumption is likely to grow by less than 1% and that real retail spending could soon stall.
Key Q2 Earnings Reports Scheduled for Release Today
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)
- Scheduled to release Q2 2025 earnings today.
- Markets will be watching closely for updates on Truth Social’s user growth, advertising revenue, and platform monetization progress.
- Investor focus will also be on whether the company provides forward guidance in light of the volatile trading seen earlier this year.
Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO)
- Q2 2025 results due today, with analysts monitoring sales performance across its bread and snack brands.
- Rising input costs and supply chain pressures remain key factors to watch.
- Market participants will assess whether the company’s pricing strategies have helped offset inflationary pressures while maintaining volume growth.
Last week, markets were quite volatile once, with gold retreating and then bouncing to finish the week close to $4,000 but yesterday it retreated again. EUR/USD continued the upward move toward 1.17, while main indices closed higher. The moves weren’t too big though, and we opened 35 trading signals in total, finishing the week with 23 winning signals and 12 losing ones.
Gold Rejected at $3,400 Again
Following the FOMC’s decision last week to keep interest rates unchanged, gold briefly dipped to $3,268/oz before stabilizing just below the $3,500/oz mark. The metal closed down $21.52 (-0.63%) for the session.
Support from the 20-week SMA and lower US unemployment figures has allowed bulls to maintain control, with the $3,450–$3,500 range now acting as a key breakout target.
USD/JPY Volatility Driven by Rate Differentials and Jobs Data
The US dollar briefly surged past ¥150 earlier this week, supported by shifting interest rate differentials and Japanese capital flows. However, weaker US jobs data triggered profit-taking and a sharp yen rebound, driving USD/JPY down roughly four yen.
USD/JPY – Weekly Chart
Cryptocurrency Update
Bitcoin Retreats From Record Highs
Bitcoin has staged a strong comeback from sub-$112,000 levels, finding firm support at the 50-day SMA, which now marks the $112K area as a crucial technical floor. The cryptocurrency recently hit a new record high of $123,350, although the latest pullback has brought prices slightly lower. The broader uptrend remains intact.
BTC/USD – Weekly chart
Ethereum Extends 2024 Rally
Ethereum has outperformed in recent weeks, climbing to $4,300—its highest level since 2021 and surpassing earlier 2024 peaks. While much of this rally has been fueled by retail enthusiasm, bullish chart patterns and renewed institutional buying suggest ETH could test its all-time high of $4,860 in the near future.
ETH/USD – Daily Chart
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst.
Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank’s local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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