Spot gold is trading lower Thursday after failing to extend the early rally. The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through the main top at $4,399.67 will change the main trend to up. A move through the main bottom at $4,066.54 will reaffirm the downtrend.
The minor trend is down. Wednesday’s high at $4,184.38 is the new minor top. A trade through this level will turn the minor trend up and show that buyers are doing more than reacting to the low.
The first resistance is the long-term 61.8% level at $4,230.51. Above it, resistance comes in at $4,315.81, followed by the 50-day moving average at $4,331.62.
A break through $4,066.54 would expose the main bottoms at $3,996.06, $3,959.80 and $3,942.10. The 61.8% retracement level at $3,886.46 is the deeper downside target.
What to Watch
The 30-year Treasury auction is the next live test for gold. The 10-year sale found buyers Wednesday, and the yield still stayed high. The long end and the dollar haven’t backed off, and Thursday’s early buying didn’t survive that.
Spot gold topped at $4,143.43 early Thursday and slipped back toward $4,103.45 by midday in New York. The bias is to the downside while the main and minor trends are down, gold remains under $4,230.51 and the market trades below the 50-day moving average. Buyers need to take out $4,184.38 first. Sellers need $4,066.54 to resume the downtrend.
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