Bitcoin (BTC) and most major altcoins are attempting to defend the immediate support levels, indicating that bears sense an opportunity and are lookin
Bitcoin (BTC) and most major altcoins are attempting to defend the immediate support levels, indicating that bears sense an opportunity and are looking to take control of the price action.
The short-term price action does not seem to worry the long-term Bitcoin bulls who expect a massive return in the next few years. While speaking at the Bitcoin 2022 conference in Miami, ARK Invest Chief Executive Officer Cathie Wood reiterated her Bitcoin price target of $1 million by 2030.
Meanwhile, telecom billionaire Ricardo Salinas said during the conference that BTC and Bitcoin equities form 60% of his liquid investment portfolio. That is a massive increase from his Bitcoin exposure in 2020, which formed just 10% of his liquid assets.
While the long-term may be positive, Bitcoin could remain under pressure in the short term due to the strength in the U.S. dollar. The rising rates and the tapering of the balance sheet have boosted the U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) to above 100 for the first time since May 2020.
Could Bitcoin break below the critical support levels or will buyers stage a strong recovery? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin plunged to the critical support at $42,594 on April 7 but a positive sign is that bulls held this level. The long tail on today’s candlestick suggests that bulls continue to defend the level with vigor.
The moving averages have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand.
The bulls will now try to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average ($44,314) and the critical overhead resistance at $45,400. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair could challenge the 200-day simple moving average ($48,220).
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA or $45,400, it will suggest that bears are selling on every rise. The bears will then try to pull the pair below the 50-day SMA ($41,789). If they succeed, the decline could extend to the support line of the ascending channel.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) broke below the 20-day EMA ($3,224) on April 6 but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. The bulls bought the dip and have pushed the price back above the 20-day EMA, indicating strong demand at lower levels.
If buyers sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the ETH/USDT pair could again rise to the 200-day SMA ($3,487). A break and close above this resistance will suggest the start of a new uptrend. The pair could then rise to $4,150.
Alternatively, if the bulls fail to drive the price above the 200-day SMA, it will suggest that bears are holding their ground at higher levels. The pair could then oscillate between the 200-day SMA and the 20-day EMA for a few days.
A break and close below $3,100 could open the doors for a possible drop to the 50-day SMA ($2,915).
BNB/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) broke and closed below the 20-day EMA ($425) on April 4 but the lower levels attracted strong buying from the bulls. The price rebounded sharply and broke above the overhead resistance at $445 on April 7 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are selling on rallies.
If the price breaks below the 20-day EMA, the possibility of a drop to the 50-day SMA ($399) increases. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the bullish momentum has weakened. A break below the 50-day SMA will bring the large range between $350 and $445 into play.
On the other hand, if the price rebounds off the 50-day SMA, the bulls will again attempt to push the BNB/USDT pair toward the 200-day SMA ($468). The pair could then trade between these two moving averages for a few days.
SOL/USDT
The bulls stalled the decline at the 20-day EMA ($114) on April 6 but could not push Solana (SOL) back above the overhead resistance at $122. This suggests that bears are active at higher levels.
If the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be $106. If this level also fails to hold, the SOL/USDT pair may drop to the 50-day SMA ($97). Such a move will suggest that the pair may remain stuck in a range between $81 and $122 for a few days.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $122, the bulls will make one more attempt to overcome the barrier at the 200-day SMA ($149).
XRP/USDT
Ripple (XRP) broke and closed below the 50-day SMA ($0.78) on April 6, indicating that bears are making a comeback. The bulls tried to push the price back above the 50-day SMA but the bears are not willing to relent.
The 20-day EMA ($0.81) has started to turn down and the RSI is in the negative territory, indicating advantage to…
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