Can Bitcoin value conquer $16,000 as ‘excessive greed’ grips market?

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Can Bitcoin value conquer $16,000 as ‘excessive greed’ grips market?

Bitcoin (BTC) remains to be exhibiting energy with a number of makes an attempt to interrupt by $16,000 on Nov. 12. A brand new yearly excessive wa


Bitcoin (BTC) remains to be exhibiting energy with a number of makes an attempt to interrupt by $16,000 on Nov. 12. A brand new yearly excessive was established all through the day with BTC value peaking at $16,150. 

This yearly excessive is greater than 300% increased than the yearly low in March at $3,800. That is spectacular momentum, significantly because the life is being drained from altcoins.

Even Stan Druckenmiller acknowledged this week that he purchased Bitcoin, anticipating BTC to proceed to outperform gold. That is one more big-name institutional investor leaping on the “digital gold” bandwagon.

Nonetheless, is an additional continuation upwards warranted contemplating such euphoria? The Worry & Greed Index is at report highs, making a correction virtually inevitable within the brief time period.

Bitcoin making an attempt for sixth inexperienced weekly candle in a row

BTC/USDT 1-week chart. Supply: TradingView

The weekly chart for Bitcoin exhibits an obvious resistance zone within the $16,000 area. It’s the primary time in practically three years that this stage was reached. Again then, Bitcoin’s value was rejected at round $16,000.

Moreover, the sixth inexperienced weekly candle is at present being printed, which is definitely a bullish signal.

Nonetheless, many ranges beneath the present value are untested on the weekly timeframe. A wholesome technique to construct up a brand new cycle is backtesting of earlier resistance ranges as new areas of help.

This retest didn’t happen on the $12,000 space, for instance. Therefore, this can be a stage that merchants must be watching since this will change into a important pivot space. 

Potential bearish divergence on the every day chart

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

The every day timeframe exhibits a possible breakout above $15,600. Such a breakout is probably going going to happen with a big quantity, which might point out main energy.

The present breakout lacks quantity, nonetheless, establishing a possible bearish divergence and a prime building at this stage.

In that regard, if Bitcoin’s value breaks south and loses the $15,600 stage, an additional correction appears inevitable.

If an additional correction happens, the degrees to observe on the every day timeframe are $14,100, $13,100, and the zone round $11,600-12,000. The latter can be a possible help space on the weekly chart.

Worry & Greed Index nonetheless at report highs

The Worry & Greed Index remains to be at extraordinarily excessive ranges, as the present stage is 87 out of 100, the best since June 2019, which marked the highest of the earlier bull cycle.

Crypto concern & greed index. Supply: Different.me

The Worry & Greed Index is a useful gizmo for gauging market sentiment.

When peak ranges of 80+ are reached, a correction turns into extra doubtless than additional continuation upward. This euphoria is regularly short-lived because the market typically strikes in the wrong way that almost all of merchants count on.

Whereas establishments leaping into Bitcoin or big-name traders stating that they personal BTC is a really bullish sign for the market on the whole, this doesn’t imply {that a} correction cannot happen. In truth, such bull cycle corrections are sometimes thought of wholesome for the Bitcoin market.

Within the earlier bull market cycle in 2017, BTC/USD noticed a number of drops of 30% that resulted in retests of earlier resistance ranges, which then grew to become springboards for the subsequent leg up.