Canadian Greenback Shrugs Off Sturdy Ivey PMI Knowledge, USD/CAD Jumps as Oil Tanks

Canadian Greenback Shrugs Off Sturdy Ivey PMI Knowledge, USD/CAD Jumps as Oil Tanks

KEY POINTS IVEY PMI:Canada’s Ivey Buying Managers Index rises to 71.9 from 64.7 and expands for the fifth consecutive month The robust outcomes re

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KEY POINTS IVEY PMI:

  • Canada’s Ivey Buying Managers Index rises to 71.9 from 64.7 and expands for the fifth consecutive month
  • The robust outcomes recommend the economic system maintains momentum as we enter the second half of the yr
  • USD/CAD rises following the PMI report, however the transfer appears associated to a big drop in oil costs and a few risk-off sentiment

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Ivey Buying Managers Index (PMI) information confirmed that financial exercise accelerated and expanded at a sturdy tempo for the fifth consecutive month in June in Canada. In keeping with a survey launched this morning, PMI rose from 64.7 to 71.90 final month, an indication that the restoration is gaining momentum because the economic system opens up due to elevated Covid-19 vaccinations.

As a reminder, the Ivey PMI is a weighted index developed to measure the month-to-month variation in financial exercise as indicated by a panel of buying managers from the non-public and public sector. When evaluating the info, any print above 50 signifies an growth, whereas readings beneath that threshold sign a contraction in output.

On the element facet, the employment gauge spiked to 69.6 from 67.00, whereas inventories ticked increased to 65.four from 65.3. In the meantime, deliveries recovered reasonably and rose to 37.9, however remained beneath the 50 mark, indicating that companies are struggling to fulfill pent-up demand.

The desk beneath summarizes key outcomes:

Canadian Dollar Shrugs Off Strong Ivey PMI Data, USD/CAD Jumps as Oil Tanks

Supply: Ivey Enterprise College

After the PMI information crossed the wires, USD/CAD began to rise, however the transfer appears associated to a big drop in oil costs and a few threat-off sentiment available in the market. See chart beneath.

USD/CAD AND WTI 5-MINUTE CHART

USDCAD chart vs WTI oil

Supply: TradingView

Later within the day, merchants will concentrate on the FOMC minutes and, after all, oil worth dynamics, whereas on Friday the Canadian employment report for June will likely be the focus. Traders count on payrolls to rise sharply by 175,000 after a lack of 68,000 jobs in Could. The unemployment price is seen as declining, however is unlikely to fall considerably because the labor power participation price is poised to rebound from an eight-month low in Could. In any case, a great jobs report might strengthen the case for additional QE tapering by the Financial institution of Canada at its subsequent coverage assembly subsequent week. This situation might increase the Canadian greenback towards the dollar.

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—Written by Diego Colman, DailyFX Market Strategist

Comply with me on Twitter: @DColmanFX

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