Here's a listing of coronavirus-related articles, podcasts, and threads from across the web that caught our eye: Rumors surfaced yesterday tha
Here’s a listing of coronavirus-related articles, podcasts, and threads from across the web that caught our eye:
- Rumors surfaced yesterday that Neil Ferguson, one of many authors of the Imperial Faculty paper whose forecasts spurred governments into taking extra stringent actions to fight Covid-19’s transmission, had walked again his preliminary estimates. These rumors have been false, as Ferguson himself explains.
- The relative success of early containment measures doesn’t imply fears of Covid-19’s unfold are overblown or early forecasts have been flawed. In addition they don’t imply we’re out of the woods. This thread from epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch clarify why.
- “Their fashions should not meant to be crystal balls predicting actual numbers or dates. They forecast how illnesses will unfold below completely different circumstances” This piece explains how epidemiological modeling works, why their baked in assumptions are so necessary and why lots of the accusations in opposition to them are deeply misguided.
- One instance of why the assumptions constructed into epidemiological fashions matter is the brand new mannequin launched Thursday by the College of Washington. The mannequin predicts that the nationwide coronavirus mortality peak will are available mid-April, and that we are going to attain lower than 10 deaths/day by the primary week of June. Nevertheless, the mannequin makes some daring assumptions: specifically, that each one remaining states that haven’t enacted strict restrictions on residents will accomplish that within the subsequent week — and that the inhabitants will abide by them till summer time.
- A brand new nationwide ballot reveals that Fox viewers are a lot much less prone to take the pandemic significantly at the same time as in comparison with different Republicans.
- We discuss so much about Covid-19’s mortality price and so much much less in regards to the immense struggling it causes even to those that expertise “average” signs. This thread is a stark reminder of that.
- These accounts of dying and despair in Seattle and New York, two of the earliest cities to be hit exhausting by coronavirus, space highly effective and scary reminder of what could also be to come back for the remainder of us.
- A $2.2 trillion stimulus bundle is some huge cash. Right here’s why even the strictest deficit hawks shouldn’t be nervous.
- “The coronavirus, which has already contaminated tons of of hundreds of individuals across the globe might rip by way of these camps with devastating pace and mortality.” Situations in refugee camps are already dangerous sufficient — coronavirus might make them catastrophic.
- Right here’s a glossary of coronavirus-related phrases from “ventilator vs. respirator” to “quarantine vs. isolation” and extra.
- “The resourcefulness of wartime economies presents a helpful template for occupied with the broader context of the coronavirus disaster” writes Nicholas Mulder. “When societies shift their economies to a battle footing, it doesn’t simply assist them survive a disaster—it alters them without end.”