Voting is underway within the Nevada caucuses. Whereas we're nonetheless ready for official results, we've some numbers from early entrance poll
Voting is underway within the Nevada caucuses. Whereas we’re nonetheless ready for official results, we’ve some numbers from early entrance polls — and so they look good for Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).
First, the standard disclaimer about entrance polls: They don’t at all times seize the outcomes precisely and have been fallacious earlier than. Prior to now, some entrance polls have discounted Latino voters, showing to skew the outcomes for a unique candidate earlier than the precise votes got here in.
Numbers from entrance polls are nonetheless rolling in as pollsters proceed to interview voters. That mentioned, the early knowledge from main TV networks and newspapers is exhibiting Sen. Bernie Sanders within the lead.
NBC ballot of early voters: Sanders forward with early voters
NBC has a ballot of Nevadans who voted in the course of the state’s early voting interval, primarily based on interviews of two,122 voters’ preliminary preferences. Per NBC’s Steve Kornacki, Sanders is powerful in a number of classes; the NBC ballot exhibits Sanders main amongst white voters (which make up about 66 p.c of Nevada voters) and with a wider lead amongst Hispanic voters (about 17 p.c of Nevada voters). In the meantime, former Vice President Joe Biden leads amongst African American voters (about 10 p.c of Nevada voters).
Right here’s the NBC breakdown amongst demographics:
White voters
- Sanders — 31 p.c
- Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg — 18 p.c
- Sen. Amy Klobuchar — 13 p.c
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren — 13 p.c
- Biden — 12 p.c
Hispanic voters
- Sanders — 51 p.c
- Biden — 13 p.c
- Buttigieg — 10 p.c
- Businessman Tom Steyer — 9 p.c
- Warren — eight p.c
- Klobuchar — 6 p.c
Black voters
- Biden — 36 p.c
- Sanders — 25 p.c
- Steyer — 13 p.c
- Warren — 13 p.c
- Klobuchar — three p.c
- Buttigieg — 2 p.c
Right here’s the NBC poll breakdown by age. The candidates are tightly clustered amongst voters who’re over 45 years previous, with Biden and Sanders tied amongst this group. The ballot exhibits that Sanders seems to be successful the overwhelming majority of youthful voters.
Voters over 45 years previous
- Biden — 20 p.c
- Sanders — 20 p.c
- Buttigieg — 16 p.c
- Klobuchar — 15 p.c
- Warren — 13 p.c
- Steyer — 11 p.c
Voters underneath 45 years previous
- Sanders — 60 p.c
- Buttigieg — 13 p.c
- Warren — 11 p.c
- Biden — 5 p.c
- Klobuchar — three p.c
The ideological breakdown in the NBC poll additionally seems to be good for Sanders. He has a slight lead among the many 34 p.c of polled voters who establish as average or conservative, adopted by Biden and Buttigieg.
Self-identified average/conservative voters
- Sanders — 23 p.c
- Biden — 22 p.c
- Buttigieg — 20 p.c
- Klobuchar — 14 p.c
- Steyer — 10 p.c
CNN entrance ballot: Latino voters may give Sanders a lift
CNN’s entrance poll numbers are nonetheless rolling in. As with the NBC early vote ballot, this entrance ballot exhibits Sanders robust in a number of classes.
Right here’s the CNN breakdown amongst demographics:
White voters
- Sanders — 30 p.c
- Buttigieg — 19 p.c
- Klobuchar — 14 p.c
- Warren — 14 p.c
- Biden — 12 p.c
Hispanic voters
- Sanders — 54 p.c
- Biden — 14 p.c
- Buttigieg — 9 p.c
- Steyer — 7 p.c
- Warren — 7 p.c
Black voters
- Biden — 34 p.c
- Sanders — 28 p.c
- Steyer — 17 p.c
- Warren — 12 p.c
- Klobuchar — three p.c
CNN’s ballot discovered that Sanders had a commanding lead amongst self-described liberal voters in Nevada. Right here’s that ideological breakdown:
Liberal voters
- Sanders — 52 p.c
- Warren — 17 p.c
- Biden — 9 p.c
- Buttigieg — eight p.c
- Klobuchar — eight p.c
The CNN entrance ballot additionally discovered three in 5 Nevada caucus-goers determined whom they’d be voting for earlier than February, in comparison with two in 5 voters who reported deciding prior to now month.
Early polling additionally appears to counsel Nevada voters agree with Sanders on Medicare-for-all: CNN’s entrance poll showed 62 percent of Nevadans assist the coverage.
Washington Publish’s entrance ballot: Biden is up with black voters
The Washington Post has also posted entrance poll results, that are being up to date because the Publish conducts extra interviews. Its entrance polls additionally present Sanders successful in lots of key classes. Right here’s what the ballot exhibits up to now:
Breakdown amongst gender: Males make up 46 p.c of voters, and ladies 54 p.c.
Males
- Sanders — 39 p.c
- Buttigieg — 16 p.c
- Biden — 15 p.c
- Warren — 10 p.c
- Klobuchar — 9 p.c
Ladies
- Sanders — 31 p.c
- Biden — 15 p.c
- Buttigieg — 14 p.c
- Warren — 14 p.c
- Klobuchar — 12 p.c
Right here’s the Publish’s demographics breakdown; it exhibits white voters making up 65 p.c of the entire voters, Hispanic/Latino voters 18 p.c of the voters, and black voters 11 p.c of the entire.
White voters
- Sanders — 30 p.c
- Buttigieg — 19 p.c
- Klobuchar — 14 p.c
- Warren — 14 p.c
- Biden — 12 p.c
Hispanic/Latino voters
- Sanders — 54 p.c
- Biden — 14 p.c
- Buttigieg — 9 p.c
- Warren — 7 p.c
- Klobuchar — 5 p.c
Black voters
- Biden — 34 p.c
- Sanders — 28 p.c
- Warren — 12 p.c
- Klobuchar — three p.c
- Buttigieg — 2 p.c
The Publish’s age breakdown exhibits Sanders main most age classes, save for voters 65 and older, most of whom assist Biden.
Voters ages 17 to 29
- Sanders — 68 p.c
- Buttigieg — 10 p.c
- Biden — 7 p.c
- Warren — 6 p.c
- Klobuchar — 2 p.c
Voters ages 30 to 44
- Sanders — 49 p.c
- Warren — 15 p.c
- Buttigieg — 15 p.c
- Biden — 5 p.c
- Klobuchar — 5 p.c
Voters ages 45 to 64
- Sanders — 27 p.c
- Buttigieg — 18 p.c
- Biden — 15 p.c
- Warren — 14 p.c
- Klobuchar — 11 p.c
Voters age 65 and older
- Biden — 27 p.c
- Klobuchar — 20 p.c
- Sanders — 13 p.c
- Buttigieg — 13 p.c
- Warren — 10 p.c
The Publish’s ballot exhibits comparable outcomes for ideology as CNN and NBC’s polls. Right here’s the ideology breakdown:
Very liberal voters
- Sanders — 52 p.c
- Warren — 16 p.c
- Buttigieg — 9 p.c
- Biden — 9 p.c
- Klobuchar — 5 p.c
Considerably liberal voters
- Sanders — 31 p.c
- Buttigieg — 16 p.c
- Warren — 14 p.c
- Klobuchar — 13 p.c
- Biden — 13 p.c
Reasonable or conservative voters
- Sanders — 24 p.c
- Biden — 22 p.c
- Buttigieg — 19 p.c
- Klobuchar — 13 p.c
- Warren — 7 p.c
The Washington Post Nevada entrance poll additionally confirmed that six in 10 voters mentioned they supported making a single-payer well being care system, even when it meant eliminating personal insurance coverage.
It’s price repeating that it’s nonetheless early and we’re nonetheless ready for closing outcomes. However, added up, these appear to be promising numbers for Sanders.