METALS-Base metals shine in 2021 on robust China demand, supply concerns

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METALS-Base metals shine in 2021 on robust China demand, supply concerns


Updates prices, adds comment and graphic

Dec 31 (Reuters)Base metals, which were mixed in late Asian trading on Friday, were poised to end 2021 firmer across the board, propped up by an economic rebound in top consumer China and supply concerns.

Prices on the London Metal Exchange were mostly lower on the last trading day of the year, with copper CMCU3 virtually flat at $9,695 a tonne by 0708 GMT, after MMG Ltd’s 1208.HK Las Bambas mine in Peru said it would resume operations that had been halted due to a road blockade.

Copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange SCFcv1 ended daytime trading 0.5% higher at 70,380 yuan ($11,043.46) a tonne.

Both London and Shanghai copper benchmarks have gained more than 20% this year so far.

While support for metal prices is expected to remain intact in 2022 as the world economy continues to recover from the pandemic shock, some analysts expressed guarded optimism.

“China has been a primary source of demand for base metals since 2003, but we think this trend has started to come to an end,” said Justin Smirk, senior economist at Westpac in Australia.

“With the decline of investment and production as key growth drivers, this will see diminishing incremental economic growth and a reduction in materials demand as a share of output,” he said.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Las Bambas mine in Peru, the world’s No. 2 copper producer, on Thursday said it would restart operations after reaching a deal with a Peruvian community that blocked a key transport road for a month, with the process expected to take up to six days.

* China’s factory activity unexpectedly accelerated in December, but only by a small margin, according to an official survey released on Friday, amid disruptions from COVID-19 outbreaks and as the broader economy loses momentum in the fourth quarter.

* LME aluminium CMAL3 was down 0.1% at $2,815.50 a tonne, while Shanghai aluminium SAFcv1 rose 0.5% to 20,380 yuan a tonne.

* LME zinc CMZN3 dropped 0.7% to $3,507 a tonne but Shanghai zinc SZNcv1 gained 0.3% to 24,125 yuan a tonne.

* LME nickel CMNI3 was up 0.1% at $20,600 a tonne, while Shanghai nickel SNIcv1 advanced 1.4% to 152,080 yuan a tonne.

* LME lead CMPB3 fell 0.8% to $2,278 a tonne and Shanghai lead SPBcv1 slipped 0.3% to 15,300 yuan a tonne.

* LME tin CMSN3 was almost flat at $39,195 a tonne, but Shanghai tin SSNcv1 climbed 1.3% to 296,110 yuan a tonne.

* The LME and Shanghai exchange will be closed on Monday for the New Year break.

($1 = 6.3730 yuan)

Base metals’ 2021 gainshttps://tmsnrt.rs/3zgXcVp

(Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz in Manila; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi)

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.



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