Tag: polls
The Polls Are Close. The Results Might Not Be.
We are just a very normal polling error away from either candidate landing a decisive victory on Tuesday.
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What Polls Can Tell Us, Beyond the Horse Race
As the election dust prepares to settle, patterns are emerging that might provide valuable context in the weeks to come.
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Some Late Shifts, but Polls Remain Closest They’ve Ever Been
The polls tend to err as a group in one direction or the other, so a fairly decisive win by either candidate is still possible.
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James O’Keefe Recruits Election Workers to Secretly Record at the Polls
Mr. O’Keefe has sought volunteers willing to wear hidden cameras and hunt for voting problems. Dozens of election judges and poll monitors responded, [...]
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.
www.nytimes.com [...]
Some Surprises in Last Battleground Polls, but Still a Deadlock
A rise for Kamala Harris in the Sun Belt, and a dip in the Northern swing states.
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So, Can We Trust the Polls?
Recent changes add up to a case for cautious optimism on better accuracy, but that’s far from a guarantee.
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Crypto Has Enough Voters to Make a Splash
The caveats are many, including that Paradigm's hired survey firm, Dynata, tapped a limited number of 1,000 people and applied weighting to the respon [...]
Polls Show Trump’s Edge Shrinking on Voters’ Top Issue: The Economy
It remains priority No. 1 for many voters, particularly those who are still undecided, according to Times/Siena polling. But can Kamala Harris transla [...]
State of the Race: National Polls Tighten With 8 Days to Go
State polls remain steady, and two new polls in Texas and Nebraska show Senate control may still be in play.
www.nytimes.com [...]
How Polls Have Changed to Try to Avoid a 2020 Repeat
Pollsters are constantly tinkering, but they have also made some substantial adjustments.
www.nytimes.com [...]
Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024
To make polling better, you have to figure out what went wrong in the first place.
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Where Polls Can Mess Up (and What Pollsters Do About It)
Conducting a poll isn’t an exact science. The process is susceptible to lots of common problems and baked-in biases — more than just the “margin of er [...]
Trump Leads in Arizona as Harris Holds an Edge in Pennsylvania, New Polls Show
The latest Times/Inquirer/Siena polls found Donald Trump with a six-point advantage in Arizona, and Kamala Harris with a four-point lead in Pennsylvan [...]
Harris and Trump Are Neck and Neck in Michigan and Wisconsin, Polls Find
The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump has tightened in two of the Northern battlegrounds, New York Times/Siena College polls found.
www.nyt [...]