Tag: Prediction Markets
Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing
After Cobb issued her decision, the CFTC requested that she stay her order while they appealed it. Cobb declined to do so. When the regulator then ask [...]
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan’s Home Is Raided by FBI
Last month, responding to a question from CoinDesk about price discrepancies between Polymarket and U.S.-regulated prediction market platforms, attorn [...]
Polymarket Projects a GOP House, Clinching Trump Trifecta
If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear [...]
U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark
The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said.
www. [...]
If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face ‘Hornet’s Nest’
In prediction markets, traders bet on verifiable outcomes of real-world events in specified time frames. Typically, they buy "yes" or "no" shares in a [...]
Fortune Claims Polymarket Is ‘Rife’ With Wash Trading
The Fortune article, which debuted about a week after suspicions of a different kind of manipulation on Polymarket, cited research done by two blockch [...]
Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
If, for example, an oracle service settles disputes by a vote of token holders and a group of them collude, "they can just choose to resolve markets h [...]
Polymarket Is Huge Success for Polygon Blockchain – Everywhere But the Bottom Line
“Now, that's very different from, let's say there's somebody who comes and builds an order book DEX on Polygon PoS," he said. "If they were doing $20, [...]
Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to ‘Manipulative’ Whales
"If the trading amounts to any one of these species of election or market manipulation, then it is also likely to artificially skew the pricing of con [...]
Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
In recent days, a flurry of mainstream media outlets and (often pro-Harris) social media posters have suggested, with varying degrees of certainty, th [...]
No, Polymarket Whales Aren’t Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
This is a long-winded way of saying the market is never “wrong.” It simply reflects all available information. If you correctly disagree with the mark [...]
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket's $2 billion.
www.coindesk.com [...]
Federal Court ‘Erred’ in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
"Kalshi has taken the decision as carte blanche to list dozens of election betting contracts, including bets on the outcome of the presidential electi [...]
Kalshi Research Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demograph [...]
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump ‘Launching a Coin’? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Another No holder by the name of Lawyered.eth points to language from the white paper, first reported by CoinDesk, which reads: "World Liberty Financi [...]