Tag: Prediction Markets
Bitcoin (BTC) Mention Gets Slim Odds at Presidential Debate
On Manifold, a self-described "play money" prediction market, "bitcoin" ranks near the bottom of words or phrases likely to be said during Tuesday's d [...]
Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest
The judge in the prediction market's court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator's motion for a two-week delay.
www. [...]
Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.
www.coindesk.com [...]
Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC
"For the reasons stated in the Court’s forthcoming memorandum opinion, the Court GRANTS Plaintiff’s motion for summary judgment ... and DENIES Defenda [...]
CFTC Pleads With Judge to Block Kalshi Election Contracts for 14 Days
If granted, the stay would mean Kalshi wouldn't be allowed to list its election markets until late September at the earliest. The company, which settl [...]
U.S. Election Betting Delay Would Be ‘Devastating’ to Kalshi, Firm Says
"That delay—which the agency would assuredly try to parlay into another, then another, until it is too late—would be devastating for Kalshi, which has [...]
Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan
Doing away with stock market-type trading gives Hedgehog more flexibility in engaging its user base, said DiPeppe. For example, users can spin up cust [...]
Trump Unlikely to Drop Out of ABC Debate With Harris Despite Threats: Polymarket Traders
"Yes" shares for "Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept. 10?" were trading at 84 cents midday Tuesday in New York, indicating the market sees an 84% chance [...]
Did RFK Jr. Really 'Drop Out'? Polymarket Bettors Argue Over Contract Resolution
Prediction market traders place bets on Telegram CEO's release from jail and spread of mpox.
www.coindesk.com [...]
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
"Yes" shares for Harris were trading at 52 cents on the crypto-based betting platform Monday during U.S. morning hours, meaning the market sees a 52% [...]
Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Both parties argue the CFTC's move to regulate prediction markets is an overreach, with Dragonfly arguing that the recent 'Chevron' court ruling limit [...]
Coinbase Takes Aim at CFTC’s Definition of ‘Gaming’ in Proposed Prediction Market Rules
"If adopted, the rule would capture contracts as "gaming" that by any common understanding are not, in fact, gaming," Coinbase wrote, arguing that thi [...]
Coinbase-Backed Vega Gets Into Prediction-Market Race, Chasing Polymarket
"The starting point here is we're developing the protocol, building out the primitives, enabling this to be built," explained Vega founder Barney Mann [...]
Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say
"Yes" shares for Shaprio were trading at 68 cents Monday during morning hours in New York, indicating the market sees a 68% chance he will be the Demo [...]
Crypto VC Paradigm Invests in MetaDAO as Prediction Markets Boom
Paradigm will own 3,035 tokens, making it META's single largest holder at 14.6% of the total supply, according to Proph3t, MetaDAO's pseudonymous foun [...]