Analyst Claims 98% of Mining Rigs Fail to Confirm Transactions

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Analyst Claims 98% of Mining Rigs Fail to Confirm Transactions

Alex de Vries, the founding father of the Digiconomist, has given a damning evaluation of the electrical energy consumed by Bitcoin (BTC) mining i



Alex de Vries, the founding father of the Digiconomist, has given a damning evaluation of the electrical energy consumed by Bitcoin (BTC) mining in an interview with British media outlet, The Telegraph.

Based on de Vries, a single Bitcoin transaction expends the same amount of electrical energy wanted to energy a British family for 59 days, 780,650 Visa transactions, or 52,043 hours of video streaming on Youtube.

The article asserts that the annual returns generated from Bitcoin mining are practically $5.9 billion — with roughly four billion mining models competing for a share of the bounty worldwide. On the finish of August 2019, Bitcoin miners have been estimated to have generated $14 billion in earnings because the expertise’s inception.

De Vries asserts that 98% of mining rigs won’t ever confirm a transaction, leading to an infinite and unproductive electrical energy expenditure. “They’re type of taking part in an enormous lottery and each 10 minutes one will get fortunate and will get to provide the subsequent block,” he states.

“The surprising factor is the common lifetime of a bitcoin mining machine is one and a half years, as a result of now we have a brand new technology of machines that are higher at doing these calculations. Which means it’s unattainable for 98 % of the gadgets throughout their lifetime to make the calculation that truly leads to a reward. So the remaining are simply working pointlessly for just a few years, utilizing up vitality, and producing warmth, after which they’ll simply get trashed as a result of they will’t be repurposed. It is insane.”

There are a variety of factual points with de Vries’ statements. He fails to substantiate his declare that there are four billion lively mining rigs on the Bitcoin community. Cointelegraph’s inside calculations point out this quantity is nearer to 2.5 million. De Vries additionally asserts that miners who don’t achieve releasing new blocks are pointlessly losing vitality. Nevertheless, this doesn’t contemplate the dynamics of mining swimming pools, and ignores the advantages that a big hash energy affords to the safety of the Bitcoin community.

Criticisms of Digitconomist’s estimated energy consumption of mining

De Vries’ calculations are derived from Digiconomist’s Bitcoin Electrical energy Consumption Index (BECI) — which exhibits Bitcoin’s energy consumption has lately damaged into document highs.

Based on BECI, Bitcoin mining at the moment consumes roughly 77.78 terawatt-hours per yr — roughly equal to that of all the nation of Chile, and exceeding that of the Czech Republic by 13.9%. Nevertheless, the index additionally gives a minimal estimate of roughly 50 terawatt-hours yearly — equal to that of Romania.

BECI estimates that BTC mining leads to e-waste technology corresponding to Luxembourg and a carbon footprint on par with New Zealand.

Throughout 2018, crypto funding firm Coinshares printed a report contradicting the figures produced by BECI — with the agency’s information estimating the electrical energy consumed by miners to be roughly half of Digiconomist’s.

Coinshares asserted that its findings “strictly contradict” BECI’s estimates, accusing the index of being predicated on “incorrect assumption ensuing from insufficient analysis.”

Bitcoin mining and renewable vitality

Coinshares’ 2018 report discovered that bitcoin mining is essentially powered by low cost renewable vitality, notably hydro, with fossil fuels representing the minority share of the community’s whole electrical energy demand.

The agency’s December 2019 report estimates that 73% of the electrical energy used to energy the Bitcoin community comes from renewable sources — two-thirds of which is situated in China.

Additional, BECI fails to think about the nuances of the electrical energy markets through which Bitcoin miners search to function — with cryptocurrency writer and advocate Andreas Antonopolous arguing that cryptocurrency facilitates a brand new type of arbitrage that takes benefit of extra renewable vitality that will in any other case be wasted. 

“What occurs while you construct a 50-megawatt plant in a spot the place they solely have 15 megawatts of demand? In some circumstances, if it’s different vitality, like wind, photo voltaic, or hydro, you’ll be able to’t flip it off or flip it down. You’ve constructed it, and it’ll produce, after which what? You’re mainly losing vitality. Now, what if, in that atmosphere, you could find a technique to flip that vitality into an alternate retailer of worth […] by utilizing electrical energy that will be in any other case wasted. Now, Bitcoin is an environmental subsidy to different vitality all all over the world.”

Miners transfer flagship amenities from Sichuan to Texas

Many prime mining corporations have lately made strikes to ascertain flagship amenities in Texas, United States, shifting their focus from the ample hydropower provided by China’s Sichuan province. Texas can be the world’s fifth-largest producer of wind energy worldwide if it have been an unbiased nation, with the state repeatedly producing massive excesses in electrical energy.

Bitmain’s Texas-based facility is at the moment believed to be the biggest on the planet with…



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