Betting on a Bitcoin bull run? Not in September, BTC value knowledge says

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Betting on a Bitcoin bull run? Not in September, BTC value knowledge says

Bitcoin (BTC) might rating a brand new all-time excessive in 2021, however the odds are that it received’t occur subsequent month.Historic value kn


Bitcoin (BTC) might rating a brand new all-time excessive in 2021, however the odds are that it received’t occur subsequent month.

Historic value knowledge confirms that September tends to see BTC value losses — and its best-ever returns are nonetheless single figures.

September 2021 appears like a basic for BTC

As Bitcoin matures, it turns into extra noticeable that BTC/USD behaves in comparable methods throughout the identical month annually.

This fall is the clear standout for high efficiency, particularly within the yr following a block subsidy halving. In contrast, January tends to be bearish — though this yr was a conspicuous exception to the rule.

Turning to September, nonetheless, and the image is uninspiring for buyers. Summer season could also be over, however traditionally, subsequent month has by no means seen Bitcoin improve by greater than 6%.

“Bitcoin doesn’t like September in any respect,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe commented this week.

“Are we going to repeat and have a corrective month throughout markets, earlier than the continuation of bull cycle?”

BTC/USD historic returns chart. Supply: Bybt

Higher luck in This fall?

September is already tipped to ship a barely lower cost zone than August, one thing that PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow Bitcoin value fashions, mentioned is merely an information technicality.

Associated: Is the time proper for $50Okay BTC? 5 issues to look at in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoiners might not want to smile and bear it for lengthy, nonetheless, as October tends to ship rather more convincing momentum.

But for the meantime, evidently a retest of all-time highs might want to wait. On the time of writing, BTC/USD traded at $47,600, having misplaced round 1.6% previously 24 hours.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView