Equities markets in the United States rallied sharply on May 25 and May 26 but Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have not followed a similar trajectory. This
Equities markets in the United States rallied sharply on May 25 and May 26 but Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have not followed a similar trajectory. This suggests that traders are not confident that the crypto markets have bottomed out yet.
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode said that the number of Bitcoin whales has been reducing and on May 27, the metric fell to the lowest level since July 2020.
On May 24, Miller Value Partners founder and chief investment officer Bill Miller backed Bitcoin investing and called it an “insurance policy against financial catastrophe.”
In a note to its clients on May 25, JPMorgan said that Bitcoin’s fall looks like capitulation and they anticipate Bitcoin and the crypto markets to rally. The bank’s analysts believe Bitcoin’s fair value is $38,000 which is about 30% higher than the current level.
Could Bitcoin follow the U.S. equities markets higher or will it decouple and continue to languish at lower levels? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin plunged below the strong support of $28,630 on May 26 but the bulls could not sustain the lower levels. The long tail on the day’s candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.
The bulls are again trying to defend the support at $28,630, which is an important level to keep an eye on. If the price rises from the current level and breaks above the 20-day exponential moving average ($30,868), it will suggest that the BTC/USDT pair may have bottomed out. The pair could then rally to the 50-day simple moving average ($35,721).
Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance, it will suggest a lack of demand at higher levels. That may increase the possibility of a break below $28,630. If that happens, the pair could retest the crucial level at $26,700. A break and close below this level could intensify selling and the pair may plummet toward $20,000.
ETH/USDT
Ether (ETH) dipped and closed below the uptrend line on May 25 suggesting that bears were attempting to re-establish their supremacy. The selling picked up momentum on May 26 and the price plunged below the May 12 intraday low at $1,800.
The bears are trying to defend the crucial support at $1,700 but the rebound lacks momentum. This suggests that bulls are not aggressively buying at the support. That could embolden the bears who may attempt to sink and sustain the price below $1,700. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could plummet to $1,300.
Conversely, if bulls successfully defend the support at $1,700, the pair could start an up-move toward $2,159. That could keep the pair range-bound between $2,159 and $1,700 for some more days.
BNB/USDT
The long wick on Binance Coin’s (BNB) May 25 candlestick shows that bears are selling on rallies nearing the critical overhead resistance at $350. The selling continued on May 26 and the price broke below the 20-day EMA ($320).
There is a minor support at $286 where the bulls will attempt to arrest the decline. If they succeed, it will suggest that the sentiment has changed from selling on rallies to buying on dips. The bulls will then again strive to push the price to $350.
Alternatively, if the price breaks below $286, it will suggest that the aggressive bulls who may have been trapped after buying the break above $320 may be exiting their positions. That could sink the BNB/USDT pair to $260.
XRP/USDT
Ripple (XRP) broke below the immediate support at $0.38 on May 26 but the long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests strong buying at lower levels. The buyers will try to push the price toward the downtrend line.
If the price turns down from the downtrend line, the bears will again attempt to sink the XRP/USDT pair below $0.38. If that happens, the pair could drop to the May 12 intraday low at $0.33 where the bulls are likely to mount a strong defense. The bears will have to pull the price below this support to indicate the resumption of the downtrend.
On the other hand, if bulls push the price above the downtrend line, the pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($0.44). This level may again act as a stiff resistance but if bulls overcome this barrier the recovery could reach the psychological level at $0.50.
ADA/USDT
Cardano’s (ADA) tight-range trading between $0.49 and $0.56 resolved to the downside on May 26. The bulls are attempting to defend the minor support at $0.46 but if they fail, the drop could extend to $0.40.
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI near the oversold territory suggest that bears are in command. If bears sink and sustain the price below $0.40, the selling could pick up momentum and the ADA/USDT pair may plummet to $0.33.
Conversely, if the price rebounds…
cointelegraph.com