Bitcoin and select altcoins are looking strong at the start of October, but will the flashpan bullish moment
Bitcoin and select altcoins are looking strong at the start of October, but will the flashpan bullish momentum last?
The United States legislators in the House and Senate came to a temporary agreement on Sep. 30 and averted a government shutdown for 45 days. This news could have acted as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s (BTC) sharp rally on Oct. 1. Additionally, the historically strong performance of Bitcoin in October could have boosted sentiment further.
The U.S. stock markets are also in a sweet spot in October. Data from the Stock Trader’s Almanac shows that the S&P 500 Index (SPX) has risen by an average of 0.9% in October, between 1950 and 2021. However, it does not mean that the bulls can be carefree because the stock market weathered one of its worst declines in the Black Monday crash in October 1987.
While a short-term up-move is possible in the cryptocurrency markets, it is unlikely to start a runaway rally. Higher levels are likely to witness profit-booking as the skyrocketing U.S. dollar index (DXY) could keep the bulls on the edge of their seats.
What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that may attract sellers? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.
S&P 500 Index price analysis
The S&P 500 Index plunged below the formidable support at 4,325 on Sep. 22. That completed a bearish head and shoulders pattern, indicating the start of a downward move.
Usually, the price turns around and retests the breakdown level, which in this case is 4,325. That happened on Sep. 29. The neckline of the setup is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.
If the price turns down and breaks below 4,238, it will indicate that bears are in control. That could accelerate selling and the index may dive to the pattern target of 4,043.
Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at 4,325 and then at the 20-day exponential moving average ($4,370). A break above this resistance will be the first sign of strength. The index could then ascend to the downtrend line.
U.S. dollar index price analysis
The U.S. dollar index has witnessed a scintillating run in the past several days. The bulls propelled the price above the overhead resistance of 106 on Sep. 26, indicating the start of a new uptrend.
Sellers tried to pull the price back below the breakout level of 106 on Sep. 29 but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels. The bulls will try to flip the 106 level into support. If they are successful, the index could rally to 108.
The bears are unlikely to surrender easily. They will try to drag the price back below 106 and then the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, it will trap the aggressive bulls. The index may then descend to the 50-day simple moving average ($103).
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin surged above the immediate resistance of $27,500 on Oct. 1 and then stretched the rally above $28,143 on Oct. 2. The ease with which $28,143 was conquered shows that more is likely to come.
The bulls will try to push the price to $31,000 where they are likely to encounter solid resistance from the bears. If the price turns down sharply from this level, it will suggest that the BTC/USDT pair remains stuck inside the large range between $31,000 and $24,800.
The first support on the downside is $28,143 and then the 20-day EMA ($26,862). If the price slips back below $28,143, it may trap the aggressive bulls. That could then pull the price to the 20-day EMA. Sellers will have to yank the price below this level if they want to seize control.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) pierced the 50-day SMA ($1,652) on Sep. 29 and followed that up with another sharp rally on Oct. 1. That pushed the price to the overhead resistance at $1,746.
The 20-day EMA ($1,644) has turned up and the relative strength index (RSI) is above the 64 level, indicating that the bulls are in command. That enhances the prospects of a rally above $1,746. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair will complete a double bottom pattern. This setup has a target objective of $1,959.
Sellers will make every effort to halt the recovery at $1,746. They will have to drag the price back below the moving averages to weaken the positive momentum. The pair may then extend its stay inside the range for some more time.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($216) on Sep. 29 and 30 but found support at the 20-day EMA ($214). This suggests a positive sentiment where dips are being purchased.
The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the edge. A break and close above $220 will suggest the start of a new uptrend. The…
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