Price analysis 4/17: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, MATIC, DOGE, SOL

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Price analysis 4/17: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, MATIC, DOGE, SOL

Bitcoin and select altcoins are witnessing a pullback, indicating that traders may be booking profits and re

Bitcoin and select altcoins are witnessing a pullback, indicating that traders may be booking profits and reducing risk.

Pullbacks are a part and parcel of uptrends. They not only help shake out the weaker hands but also offer an opportunity for traders to add to their position or make fresh entries. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is witnessing a correction as bulls and the bears battle for control, but is this a buying opportunity or the start of a trend reversal?

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has risen to 69, indicating that traders have started to get greedy again. When this happens, it is time to become cautious in the near term because when new traders begin chasing prices higher, experienced traders sell into strength and buy on dips.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood said in a recent interview that Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) are being considered as safe haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio does not consider Bitcoin to be “an effective store hold of wealth or a medium of exchange.” He called it “a very, very poor alternative to gold.” This shows that some legacy investors are still uncertain about the future prospects of Bitcoin.

Will traders buy the dip in Bitcoin and the major altcoins or could the correction deepen further? Let’s study the charts to find out.

S&P 500 index price analysis

The S&P 500 index (SPX) has been gradually moving toward the overhead resistance at 4,200. The price action of the past few days has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above 4,200.

SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

If that occurs, the index may start a new uptrend which has a target objective of 4,909. It is unlikely to be a straight dash higher because the buyers are likely to face stiff resistance at 4,300 and then again at 4,625.

Another possibility is that the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance at 4,200 and slips below the 20-day exponential moving average (4,070). The index may then drop to the uptrend line of the triangle. If this support gives way, the advantage may turn in favor of the bears.

U.S. dollar index price analysis

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) bounced off the strong support at 100.82 on April 13, signaling that the bulls are fiercely defending the level.

DXY daily chart. Source: TradingView

The index has reached the 20-day EMA (102.32) where the bulls may face solid resistance from the bears. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will increase the possibility of a break below 100.82. The index will then complete a head and shoulders (H&S) pattern, which has a long-term target objective of 86.87.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises above the 20-day EMA, it will indicate strong buying near the 100.82 support. That may keep the index range-bound between the 200-day simple moving average (106.33) and 100.82 for some more time.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin turned down from $31,000 on April 14, indicating profit-booking by the bulls. The bears will try to take advantage of the situation and tug the price to the 20-day EMA ($28,937).

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.

The bulls will then make another attempt to propel the price to the stiff overhead resistance at $32,400. This remains the key level to watch for because a break and close above it may open the doors for a potential rally to $40,000.

This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price plummets below the 20-day EMA. That may embolden the bears who will then try to sink the BTC/USDT pair to $27,800 and later to $26,500.

Ether price analysis

Ether is in an uptrend but it is facing resistance near the critical overhead level of $2,200. This suggests that some short-term traders may be booking profits after the strong rally in the past few days.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/USDT pair may dip down to the psychological support at $2,000 and then to the 20-day EMA ($1,930). In an uptrend, buyers generally try to defend the 20-day EMA during pullbacks.

In this case, if the price turns up from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that lower levels are attracting buyers. That could enhance the prospects of a break above $2,200. If this level gives way, the pair may surge to $3,000.

Contrarily, if the price slumps below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bulls are rushing to the exit. The pair may then descend to $1,680 and thereafter to the 200-day SMA ($1,482).

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) continued its northward journey and soared above the $338 to $346 overhead resistance zone on April 16. However, the bulls are finding it difficult to latch on to the higher levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to…

cointelegraph.com