Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

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Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

The rejection of ETF applications by the SEC caused a knee-jerk reaction but the shallow fall in Bitcoin and

The rejection of ETF applications by the SEC caused a knee-jerk reaction but the shallow fall in Bitcoin and several altcoins suggests that lower levels are attracting buyers.

Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a volatile trading session on the last day of the quarter. The bulls were trying to maintain Bitcoin’s price above $31,000 but they received a jolt on a Wall Street Journal report which stated that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had returned applications for the Bitcoin spot-price exchange-traded fund (ETF). 

Although there was a knee-jerk reaction to the news, the downside was limited because it turned out that the ETF applications were returned due to a technical issue. The regulators said the asset managers could refile after providing the necessary clarifications.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin’s failure to cross above $31,000 seems to be making the short-term speculators jittery. A Glassnode research report released on June 28 shows that short-term holders (STHs), entities holding coins for 155 days or less, have sent more than 35,000 coins to the exchanges.

Any adverse news is likely to witness a negative reaction from SThs. What are the important support and resistance levels that need to be watched on Bitcoin and altcoins in the near term? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin continues its tight consolidation near the overhead resistance at $31,000. This shows that the bears are trying their level best to stall the up-move but the bulls have kept up the pressure.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, a tight consolidation near an overhead resistance resolves to the upside. The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($28,982) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If buyers sustain the price above $31,000, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and start the next leg of its uptrend. There is a minor resistance at $32,400 but it is likely to be scaled. The pair could then dash toward $40,000.

This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then swing inside the large range between $31,000 and $24,800 for a few more days.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) bounced off the moving averages on June 29, indicating that the lower levels are attracting buyers.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to propel the price above the overhead resistance at $1,937. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may rise to the psychological level of $2,000. This level may again act as a minor barrier but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then rally to $2,142.

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from 1,937, it will suggest that bears are not willing to surrender. That will increase the likelihood of a drop below the moving averages. The pair may then slump to $1,700 and next to $1,600.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) slipped below the support at $230 on June 28 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($245) remains the key level for the bulls to cross. If they kick the price above it, the BNB/USDT pair could fly toward the overhead resistance zone between $257 and $265. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense in this zone.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the pair below $220 and start the next leg of the downtrend.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) fell close to the first support at $0.44 on June 28 and June 30 but the long tail on the candlesticks shows strong buying at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The $0.44 support is an important level to watch out for in the near term. If this level breaks down, the selling could pick up and the XRP/USDT pair may tumble to $0.41. This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls.

The 20-day EMA ($0.48) remains the key resistance for the bulls to scale. If buyers overcome this obstacle, it will enhance the prospects of a rally to the strong overhead resistance zone between $0.53 and $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been range-bound between $0.24 and $0.30 for the past few days. The long wick on the June 30 candlestick shows that the bears are fiercely defending the $0.30 level.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.28) could keep the ADA/USDT pair stuck inside the range for some more time.

A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip. Buyers will then try to…

cointelegraph.com