ASX 200, Cling Seng Could Trip the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Increased

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ASX 200, Cling Seng Could Trip the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Increased

DOW JONES, HANG SENG, ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET OUTLOOK:The Dow Jones and S&P 500 climbed whereas Nasdaq 100 fell amid a light-weig


DOW JONES, HANG SENG, ASIA-PACIFIC MARKET OUTLOOK:

  • The Dow Jones and S&P 500 climbed whereas Nasdaq 100 fell amid a light-weight pre-holiday session
  • The US Greenback fell on constructive Brexit information, underpinning iron ore, copper, crude oil and gold costs
  • Considerations stay on the signing of US stimulus invoice and potential wider unfold of recent viral pressure

A cyclical-led session on Wall Avenue could trace at a average ‘threat on’ buying and selling for Asia-Pacific markets, with fairness futures throughout Japan, Hong Kong, Australia, South Korea and Singapore pointing to good points. Australia’s ASX 200 index opened 0.6% increased as rising metallic costs gave its power (2.22%) and materials (+1.10%) sectors a lift. The Australian market will probably be shut on Friday and subsequent Monday earlier than resuming buying and selling on Tuesday.

Buying and selling could possibly be gentle although as traders put together themselves for the Christmas and New 12 months holidays. The Hong Kong Alternate is buying and selling half-day on Thursday, and main inventory markets will probably be shut on December 25th excluding mainland China.

Constructive information on the post-Brexit commerce talks between the UK and Europe propelled the Sterling in a single day, sending the US Greenback decrease. A weaker greenback gave a lift to crude oil and metals equivalent to iron ore, copper gold and nickel, which fell sharply from their current highs. Small cap shares and cyclical sectors, specifically financials and power, outperformed whereas data know-how shares fell. The commoditylinked Australian Greenback and the Norwegian Krone had been among the many greatest performing G10 currencies.

Uncertainties stay over the US stimulus bundle after President Trump expressed his displeasure with the US$ 900 billion invoice that was authorised by the US Congress after months’ of negotiations. The President requested Congress to amend the invoice by growing stimulus checks and eradicating gadgets that he considers pointless. The abrupt transfer led to heightened uncertainty and should delay the distribution of aid helpfunds to people and companies who’re affected by the most recent pandemic wave.

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Maybe extra worryingly is the unfold of thenew coronavirus pressure discovered within the UK, which flags a deeper concern of potential viral mutations which are undiscovered in different elements of the world. This might hinder a medium- to long-term restoration if vaccine growth and manufacturing cannot catch up the tempo of viral mutations and unfold. This might derail a seemingly easy restoration trajectory, pointing to additional want for stimulus and financial easing. In line with Bloomberg, the brand new Covid-19 pressure is probably already within the US, Germany, France and Switzerland.

On the macro entrance, US weekly jobless claims fell to 803ok within the week ending December 19, in comparison with 892ok within the week earlier than. The studying was not solely better-than-expected, but additionally marked its first decline noticed after two weeks of good points (chart beneath). The core PCE value index – a key inflation gauge for the Fed – got here in a 1.4%, which is barely decrease than baseline forecast of 1.5%. Sturdy items order expanded 0.9% MoM, beating consensus of 0.6% development. Learn extra on DailyFX’s financial calendar.

ASX 200, Hang Seng May Ride the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Higher

Supply: Bloomberg, DailyFX

Sector-wise, 6 out of 9 Dow Jones sectors closed within the inexperienced, with 60% of the index’s constituents ending increased on Wednesday. Financials (+2.19%), power (+1.58%) and communication providers (+1.34%) had been outperforming, whereas data know-how (-0.77%) was lagging.

Dow Jones Sector Efficiency 23-12-2020

ASX 200, Hang Seng May Ride the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Higher

Supply: Bloomberg, DailyFX

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Dow Jones Index Technical Evaluation:

The S&P 500 index seems to be ranging increased inside an “Ascending Channel” as highlighted within the chart beneath. The uptrend was effectively supported by its 20-Day Easy Shifting Common (SMA) line, though some minor corrections had been noticed. Speedy assist and resistance ranges may be discovered at 29,850 (76.4% Fibonacci extension) and 30,350 (the higher Bollinger Band) respectively.

Dow Jones IndexEach day Chart

ASX 200, Hang Seng May Ride the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Higher

ASX 200 Index Technical Evaluation:

The ASX 200 index is trending up inside the “Ascending Channel” as highlighted beneath. The general bullish development stays intact however bullish momentum seems to be faltering lately, as prompt by falling MACD trendlines. Speedy assist and resistance ranges may be discovered at 6,580 (decrease Bollinger Band) and 6,740 (higher Bollinger Band) respectively.

ASX 200 Index Each day Chart

ASX 200, Hang Seng May Ride the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Higher

Cling Seng Index Technical Evaluation:

The Cling Seng Index (HSI) entered a consolidative part in December, forming decrease highs and decrease lows – a typical bear market setup. The index is testing a key assist stage at its 50-Day SMA line, breaking beneath which can open the room for additional draw back potential with an eye fixed on 25,880 – the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.

Cling Seng Index Each day Chart

ASX 200, Hang Seng May Ride the Brexit Tailwind as Dow Drifts Higher

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— Written by Margaret Yang, Strategist for DailyFX.com

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