British Pound Outlook – Analysis & Setups on GBP/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY

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GBP/USD FORECAST – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

GBP/USD extended losses on Wednesday, but narrowly avoided breaking decisively below cluster support at 1.2560, where the 200-day simple moving average converges with a short-term rising trendline. To prevent further deterioration in cable’s outlook, bulls need to protect this floor at all costs; failure to do so could result in a pullback towards 1.2500 and possibly even 1.2455.

In the case of a bullish turnaround, the first technical ceiling to consider is located around the psychological 1.2600 mark, followed by 1.2675, located near the 50-day simple moving average. Additional gains beyond this point might shift focus to trendline resistance at 1.2735. Continuing upwards, the spotlight may then move towards 1.2830.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL CHART

GBP/USD Chart Created Using TradingView

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EUR/GBP FORECAST – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

EUR/GBP has been in a sustained downtrend since late 2023, marking impeccable lower highs and lower lows through the retracement period. This week, the pair fell to its weakest point in nearly six months before mounting a modest comeback after bouncing off a key technical floor around 0.8500.

To see an improvement in the euro’s position relative to the British pound in terms of market sentiment, it is crucial for the exchange rate to stay above 0.8500. If this condition is not met and prices break below this floor, a rapid descent towards channel support at 0.8465 may ensue. From here onwards, additional losses could direct attention to 0.8400.

On the other hand, if EUR/GBP continues to build on its rebound from Wednesday and extends higher in the coming trading sessions, the first technical resistance on the road to recovery looms at 0.8570, followed by 0.8590. Above these barriers, the 200-day simple moving average is likely to be the next line of defense against a bullish assault.

EUR/GBP TECHNICAL CHART

EUR/GBP Char Creating Using TradingView

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GBP/JPY FORECAST – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

GBP/JPY rallied on Tuesday, blasting past its recent high and hitting its best level since August 2015. Prices, however, downshifted the next day, sliding back towards the 189.00 mark when the bulls were unable to take out channel resistance at 190.00. If the reversal accelerates and the pair loses the 189.00 handle in the coming day, a pullback towards 185.50 could be on the horizon.

On the other hand, if GBP/JPY pivots to the upside in the direction of the broader uptrend from its current position, overhead resistance is located near 190.00, as stated before. Although breaching this technical ceiling might prove challenging for the bullish camp, a clean and clear breakout could lead buyers to set their sights on the 2025 highs near 196.00.

GBP/JPY TECHNICAL CHART

GBP/JPY Chart Created Using TradingView