Canada November producer price index +0.8% m/m vs +0.8% expected

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Canada November producer price index +0.8% m/m vs +0.8% expected

Prior was +1.3% m/m Prices y/y +18.1% vs +16.7% prior Raw materials price index -1.0% m/m vs +4.8% p


Canada Producer price index chart Nov 2021

  • Prior was +1.3% m/m
  • Prices y/y +18.1% vs +16.7% prior
  • Raw materials price index -1.0% m/m vs +4.8% prior
  • Raw materials y/y +36.2% vs +38.4% prior

These are obviously problematic numbers and even if many of these inputs fall, these prices are going to be pushed through the supply chain. A company can absorb a 10% price rise for a time but no one is eating 36.2% y/y input cost rises.

We’re seeing how prices are filtering through into petrochemical products with fertilizers up 10.5% m/m and 132% y/y.

There was also a slight push from the loonie, which fell 1.1% in November against the US dollar.

What might be especially worrisome is that Oct-Nov looks like it might have been a trough for some commodity prices, including lumber, LNG and coal.



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