Deutsche Bank on the Bank of England rate hike – the Committee “remains divided”

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Deutsche Bank on the Bank of England rate hike – the Committee “remains divided”

ICYMI, the Bank of England overnight:Via Deutsche Bank:The Bank of England has lifted its bank rate for the twelfth consecutive time to 4.5%. What d

ICYMI, the Bank of England overnight:

Via Deutsche Bank:

The
Bank of England has lifted its bank rate for the twelfth consecutive
time to 4.5%.

What did we learn today?

  • The MPC remains divided: two
    members continued to vote for a pause in the hiking cycle.
  • And despite
    big upward revisions to GDP growth and CPI, the MPC remains no more
    confident about getting inflation back to target. In fact, today’s
    minutes highlighted increased caution around the unwinding of
    second-round effects with uncertainty surrounding the Bank’s CPI
    projections tracking at record levels.

Where to next?

  • The MPC stuck to
    its message of data dependence, and will be held captive to forthcoming
    growth, labour market, and inflation data.

I posted earlier a view that the BoE rate has topped out, or is close to doing so:

DB’s ‘data dependence’ view is probably the better one IMO.

Bank of England Governor Bailey

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