ICYMI, the Bank of England overnight:Via Deutsche Bank:The Bank of England has lifted its bank rate for the twelfth consecutive time to 4.5%. What d
ICYMI, the Bank of England overnight:
Via Deutsche Bank:
The
Bank of England has lifted its bank rate for the twelfth consecutive
time to 4.5%.
What did we learn today?
- The MPC remains divided: two
members continued to vote for a pause in the hiking cycle. - And despite
big upward revisions to GDP growth and CPI, the MPC remains no more
confident about getting inflation back to target. In fact, today’s
minutes highlighted increased caution around the unwinding of
second-round effects with uncertainty surrounding the Bank’s CPI
projections tracking at record levels.
Where to next?
- The MPC stuck to
its message of data dependence, and will be held captive to forthcoming
growth, labour market, and inflation data.
—
I posted earlier a view that the BoE rate has topped out, or is close to doing so:
DB’s ‘data dependence’ view is probably the better one IMO.
Bank of England Governor Bailey
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