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Firm Trade Ahead of PPI, Retail Sales Reports

Treasuries and Further Economic Reports

U.S. Treasury yields remained largely unchanged as market participants pondered inflation’s trajectory after the recent CPI announcement. Specifically, the 10-year Treasury saw a minor increment to 4.2545%.

As we move forward, traders have their eyes on the imminent release of the PPI, expected to rise by 0.4%, slightly outpacing July’s 0.3% gain. Upcoming retail sales figures and Friday’s consumer sentiment report will also play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.

Arm Announces IPO Pricing

On the global front, shares of Japanese holding giant Softbank experienced a dip after its subsidiary, Arm, announced its IPO pricing at $51 per share. This IPO values Arm, set to trade on the Nasdaq, at an impressive fully diluted market capitalization of over $54 billion. Softbank is expected to retain control of approximately 90% of Arm’s outstanding shares.

Short-Term Forecast: Bullish with Volatility

While the central bank might hold steady on rates for now, markets will likely see increased volatility. Futures data suggests a near-even split on the possibility of a rate increase in November. This uncertainty, combined with other economic indicators, makes a bullish short-term forecast with a side of volatility through year-end highly probable. Assets that have pushed the market up this year might soon appear overvalued in light of rising yields.

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