FOREX-Greenback hits five-month highs vs yen as U.S. yields rise

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FOREX-Greenback hits five-month highs vs yen as U.S. yields rise

* Greenback springs again towards low-yielding currencies* Yen close to four-month low as U.S. bond yields achieve* Threat-sensitive currencies sup


* Greenback springs again towards low-yielding currencies

* Yen close to four-month low as U.S. bond yields achieve

* Threat-sensitive currencies supported

* Graphic: World FX charges https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) – The greenback rose againstlow-yielding currencies on Wednesday, reaching a five-month highagainst the yen, as U.S. bond yields jumped on the prospects offurther financial restoration and a potential acceleration ininflation.

Bitcoin set a report excessive of $51,721, a day afterthe cryptocurrency rose to $50,000 for the primary time. Thatbrought its whole market capitalisation to greater than $900billion, as merchants wager on its additional acceptance amongst majorcompanies.

The greenback’s index towards six different main currenciesrecovered from Tuesday’s three-week low of 90.117 to final stand0.2% increased at 90.864.

Hovering U.S. bond yields boosted the greenback, with the10-year yield rising as excessive as 1.333% from around1.20% on the finish of final week.

“The sell-off in U.S. Treasuries is the main driver of FXat the second, with the greenback inevitably discovering help, andnot solely vs the same old sufferer JPY (USD/JPY has the highestcorrelation in FX with US 10Y yields), as commodity currenciesare really being hit the toughest,” mentioned Francesco Pesole, G10FX strategist at ING.

“Whereas the bond market is doubling down on reflationarybets, different belongings are failing to point out indicators of upbeat risksentiment. The chance is that the rise in U.S. yields has gatheredsuch tempo in order to begin being self-defeating and trigger acorrection in threat belongings.”

The yen, which is delicate to U.S. yields, reacted the mostwith the greenback leaping to as excessive as 106.225 yen in Asiantrade, its highest since September, earlier than retreating to 105.89yen.

“I feel the greenback’s downtrend is over. Firstly of theyear, speculators have been betting on a fall within the greenback beneath 100yen. They appear to have deserted such a view now,” mentioned YukioIshizuki, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities.

An indication of dwindling bets on the greenback’s fall towards theyen is obvious within the choices market. Quick-term greenback calloptions, or bets on the greenback, have grow to be dearer thandollar places, bets towards the foreign money.

The one-week risk-reversal unfold is now infavour of greenback requires the primary time in nearly 5 years.

“If one thinks U.S. yields will rise additional, we may seemore features within the greenback,” mentioned Jun Arachi, senior currencystrategist at Rakuten Securities.

“I’d say this commerce may proceed till Bidenadministration’s stimulus bundle will come into impact,presumably in March, at which level folks may begin unwindingtheir bets to ‘sell-on-fact'”.

Biden tried to construct public help for his $1.9 trillioncoronavirus aid plan in a city corridor.

The New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State manufacturingreport launched on Tuesday provided an upbeat financial image,with an increase in its “costs paid index” stoking concern overfaster inflation.

That optimism was echoed by St. Louis Fed President JamesBullard, who instructed CNBC that U.S. monetary situations have been”typically good,” and that inflation was more likely to warmth up thisyear.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, nevertheless, saidpressures on inflation are nonetheless downward, pushing againstcritics warning low rates of interest and authorities spending couldoverheat the U.S. financial system and spark excessive inflation.

The euro slipped 0.4% to $1.2058, although its fall wasless pronounced after its features earlier on Tuesday followingstrong German financial sentiment information.

“Though we proceed to see short-term dangers to EUR/USD asbalanced, it was value yesterday to note the USD response tostronger U.S. information,” mentioned Mikael Milhøj, senior analyst atDanske Financial institution.

“Not like not too long ago the place we noticed weak point in payrolls and CPIdata take USD weaker, we now noticed some proof that positivedata surprises (Empire manufacturing) are USD-positive too. Thisis totally different from final yr, the place constructive US surprises wereUSD-negative by eradicating international deflation dangers.”

The constructive temper on the financial outlook is underpinningrisk-sensitive currencies.

The British pound fell 0.3% to $1.3856, havingreached its highest degree since April 2018 on Tuesday. Againstthe euro, the pound traded at its highest degree since early Mayat 86.84 pence per euro.

The Australian greenback fell 0.2% to $0.7736, not farfrom Tuesday’s one-month excessive of $0.7805.

The offshore Chinese language yuan stepped again to six.4576 per dollarafter hitting a two-and-a-half-year excessive of 6.4010earlier within the week.

(Reporting by Ritvik Carvalho; further reporting by HideyukiSano in Tokyo; modifying by Larry King)



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