US-China Commerce Deal Optimism Leaves Hong Kong Shares Behind

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US-China Commerce Deal Optimism Leaves Hong Kong Shares Behind

HANG SENG INDEX, HONG KONG PROTESTS, US-CHINA TRADE WAR – Speaking Factors:US-China commerce deal hopes elevate Asia Pacific shar


HANG SENG INDEX, HONG KONG PROTESTS, US-CHINA TRADE WAR – Speaking Factors:

  • US-China commerce deal hopes elevate Asia Pacific shares, cool Fed price lower bets
  • Hong Kong market lags amid rising violence as protesters, police conflict
  • Technical positioning warns the Hold Seng Index uptrend stays intact

The place will markets finish 2019? See our Q4 forecasts for currencies, commodities and stock indexes!

Most Asia Pacific inventory indexes have tracked alongside the unwinding of 2020 Fed rate of interest lower expectations (pink shaded space on the chart beneath) in current months. Cautious optimism concerning the prospects for a decision of the US-China commerce struggle alongside diminishing worries a couple of no-deal Brexit have buoyed threat urge for food, boosting equities even because it erased certainty in additional easing subsequent 12 months.

Chart of Asia Pacific stocks rising with Fed policy outlook on US-China trade deal hopes

Chart created with TradingView

Shares listed in Hong Kong (inexperienced line above) and Shanghai (yellow line) have underperformed nevertheless. Whereas Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Australia’s ASX 200 (white and turquoise strains, respectively) are buying and selling at or close to year-to-date highs, Chinese language points – each mainland and in any other case – are going through potent promoting strain. The Hold Seng Index has been notably battered, struggling the worst 3-day drop since August.

More and more violent clashes between protesters and regulation enforcement most likely account for soggy…



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