Labour should study from its catastrophic Brexit blunder

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Labour should study from its catastrophic Brexit blunder

Boris Johnson says he's determined to get Brexit off the agenda for his personal authorities, in order that it may well begin making use of blue c



Boris Johnson says he’s determined to get Brexit off the agenda for his personal authorities, in order that it may well begin making use of blue cement to the bricks he turned blue in Labour’s purple wall – or throw cash and standard insurance policies on the midlands and northern seats he lately pinched from Labour.

The truth is he tried to influence me, in an interview in the course of the election, that solely saddos like me can be remotely within the particulars of the commerce and safety cope with the EU he courageously believes could be negotiated in a record-breaking 11 months.

For higher or sick, he could also be proper. I’m flabbergasted that most of the enterprise leaders to whom I converse, who hated Brexit, have capitulated and are actually Johnson groupies.

However for the opposition, Brexit ought to and should rear its head, a minimum of until a brand new chief is introduced on four April.

As a result of the Labour celebration’s mishandling of how and whether or not the UK leaves the EU could symbolize the best fluffed alternative of any opposition in historical past.

The open purpose stretched from Humber to the Mersey, and Labour nonetheless missed.

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Labour fought the 2017 common election on a platform of delivering the results of the 2016 referendum, viz withdrawal from the EU.

It then noticed a Tory celebration tearing itself aside over whether or not that Brexit must be softish – which was the place of the then prime minister, Theresa Could, and never 1,000,000 miles from Labour’s personal official place – or whether or not Brexit must be laborious and “clear”, the reason for the Brexit ultras of the European Analysis Group (ERG).

If Labour had voted for the type of customs-union based mostly Brexit that Could was shaping, and compelled it into regulation, the Conservative celebration would nearly actually have torn itself aside.

This isn’t ex-post hypothesis.

Provided that Johnson now advantages from what the previous Tory chancellor Philip Hammond calls a parliamentary dictatorship, it’s simple to overlook that lower than a yr in the past the Brexit-induced destruction of the Conservative celebration was very a lot on the playing cards.

Tory MPs within the ERG weren’t bluffing after they mentioned correct Brexit mattered far more than the survival of their celebration.

If Labour had referred to as Could’s bluff and underwritten her Brexit – which might most likely have stored the UK within the customs union without end because of that backstop that was detested by the ERG – Labour would have eviscerated the Tory celebration whereas showing principled and statesmanlike.

In different phrases, Labour had the holy grail of politics in its grasp: the flexibility to trounce opponents whereas doing what many would have seen as the appropriate factor.

As an alternative of which, Labour went by way of a charade of negotiating a Brexit compromise with Could, whereas by no means being remotely critical about doing a deal (which is what these near Jeremy Corbyn advised me very explicitly on the time). Labour performed Brexit as a sport.

What’s the celebration’s harvest?

Johnson has united his celebration by purging it of these Tory MPs who wished a comfortable Brexit, and it’s now Labour tearing itself aside over its future path.

And by promising “to get Brexit completed” (sorry!!!!) Johnson received a close to landslide and humiliated Labour, which at present has fewer seats within the Commons than at any time for 85 years.

So as to add insult to Labour’s humiliation, Johnson will ship a Brexit that can be a lot nearer to the laborious break with the EU favoured by the ERG than that of Could or Labour’s 2017 election manifesto.

Or to place it one other approach, Labour’s strategic failure on Brexit is arguably as catastrophic because it might presumably have been.

All of which certainly implies that the candidates to be Labour chief should say what – looking back – Labour ought to and will have completed in a different way.

As a result of there may be little hope of redemption for the celebration if it can’t do the work on the way it fluffed the best alternative in its historical past, specifically the possibility to devastate its nice historic enemy.

This query is most critical for these candidates – Starmer, Lengthy Bailey, Thornberry – who have been in Corbyn’s shadow cupboard and subsequently have their palms deepest within the blood of an egregious alternative value.

However Lewis, Nandy and Phillips should additionally look again, to grasp the lesson.

To be clear, it could be that the most important mistake made by Corbyn’s Labour was to marketing campaign in that 2017 election on a platform of delivering Brexit, reasonably than at that early stage opting wholeheartedly for a referendum and remaining within the EU.

However as soon as the manifesto was printed, Labour’s obligation within the British system was to do what the manifesto promised.

Possibly there may be some type of pure justice that it has been so punished for reneging on the manifesto.

However within the absence of proudly owning as much as the putative political crime, rehabilitation appears to be like a distant prospect.

Robert Peston is ITV’s Political Editor. This text initially appeared on his ITV information 



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