With votes nonetheless being counted — and, in some states, forged — right here’s the total delegate count for the March 10 Democratic main cont
With votes nonetheless being counted — and, in some states, forged — right here’s the total delegate count for the March 10 Democratic main contests thus far, powered by outcomes from our companions at Decision Desk and the Virginia Middle for Politics.
Voters in six states — Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, Michigan, North Dakota, and Washington — headed to the polls Tuesday, with roughly 9 p.c of nationwide pledged delegates at stake.
As of 10 pm ET, polls have closed in 4 states (and elements of a fifth), and the race has been known as for former Vice President Joe Biden in Mississippi, Missouri, and Michigan. Listed below are the pledged delegates awarded thus far:
- Biden: 42 delegates
- Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders: 19
The outcomes will likely be up to date all through the evening.
Candidates should earn 1,991 pledged delegates of the three,979 out there to clinch the nomination. The best means to do this, as Vox’s Andrew Prokop explained, is to run up massive margins in particular person states:
Within the Democratic contest, it’s not nearly successful states, it’s about how a lot you win by and the way a lot of the vote you get in each states and congressional districts. There aren’t any winner-take-all states; as an alternative, all delegates are awarded proportionally.
Going into Tuesday evening, Biden had a slim lead on Sanders, having netted 608 delegates to the Vermont senator’s 532, by Determination Desk’s estimates. Robust wins Tuesday might assist Biden put the race mathematically out of attain for Sanders, as Prokop again explained earlier than the evening’s contests:
This coming Tuesday, March 10, options six contests (Michigan, Washington, Missouri, Mississippi, Idaho, and North Dakota). The next Tuesday, March 17, options 4 (Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio). Then on March 24 is Georgia.
That’s quite a lot of large states in a really brief interval. Proper now, 62 p.c of delegates within the Democratic contest are nonetheless up for grabs, however after March 24, solely 36 p.c will likely be left.
Much more worryingly for Sanders, Biden is at the moment favored to win large in a few of these states — most notably Florida and Georgia.
And if Biden does as effectively in Florida and Georgia as he did in Virginia and North Carolina, simply these two states would lead to a Biden +110 web delegate benefit — greater than doubling his lead, and placing it into the “probably insurmountable” territory.
So Tuesday’s evening’s contests probably received’t be the top of the first cycle, but when Biden continues to construct his lead within the delegate depend, it spells bother for Sanders.