Brazil cautious about importing soy even after tariff lower, analysts say

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Brazil cautious about importing soy even after tariff lower, analysts say

By Nayara Figueiredo SAO PAULO, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Brazil's


By Nayara Figueiredo

SAO PAULO, Oct 19 (Reuters)Brazil’s suspension of soy tariffs has but to considerably increase imports of the oilseed regardless of an absence of inventories, analysts advised Reuters, because the market reacted cautiously because of the excessive value of imports.

The Financial system Ministry mentioned on Saturday that it will droop tariffs on corn and soy imports from international locations outdoors the Mercosur commerce bloc till early subsequent 12 months to assist cut back meals costs, that are contributing to inflation.

Brazil has run down its soy inventories this 12 months by exporting to make the most of excessive international costs and a weak actual foreign money in opposition to the greenback.

“We virtually haven’t got soy and, with or with out the (tariff), whoever cannot assure their shares till the arrival of the brand new harvest in January will most likely must import,” mentioned Daniele Siqueira, an analyst at consultancy AgRural.

“However the greenback is excessive and making imports costly,” he added.

AgRural mentioned it has not modified its projection of 800,000 tonnes of soy imports in 2020. Authorities knowledge exhibits 528,000 tonnes have been imported for January to September.

Rival consultancy Safras & Mercado sees the tariffs suspension probably pushing soy imports to a most of 1 million tonnes this 12 months, as in contrast with a present projection of 850,000, analyst Luiz Fernando Roque mentioned.

However it’s not more likely to go any larger than that, he mentioned.

“There is not any cause for the trade to extend imports for now. In February, there needs to be giant volumes of the brand new Brazilian crop hitting the market,” he mentioned.

A big firm in Brazil’s southern Rio Grande do Sul state purchased 90,000 tonnes of soy from Uruguay in an order scheduled to reach in November, decreasing the necessity to import from the U.S. Roque mentioned.

(Reporting by Nayara Figueiredo, writing by Jake Spring; Modifying by Cynthia Osterman)

(([email protected]; +55 61 99653-2429; Reuters Messaging: [email protected] / Twitter: https://twitter.com/jakespring))

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